Technical analysis by davidjulien369 about Symbol ETH: Sell recommendation (11/4/2025)

Day TF overview 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: ETHUSDT.P Direction: Sell-Side Trade Date: Tue 4 Nov 25 Time: 12:40 pm Session: NY Session PM Timeframe: 1 Day 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 3,983.39 Profit Level (TP) 3,000.44 (+11.71 %) Stop Level (SL) 4,141.42 (–4.7 %) Risk–Reward (RR) 1:8.68 Projected Target (Extended) 2,577.25 (–34.14 %) 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: ETHUSDT has completed a Preliminary Supply → Buying Climax → UTAD sequence indicative of Wyckoff Distribution Phase C–D. Price has broken below the Change of Character (CHOCH) level at 3,900, confirming a bearish bias. The Breaker Block formed near 4,050 was retested and rejected — validating institutional sell-side control. 15min ~ TF overview Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple downside FVGs remain unmitigated between 3,800 → 3,000, offering magnet zones for draw-on-liquidity targets. Daily inefficiencies suggest further markdown toward the 3,000 handle. Confluence Factors: Adaptive KAMA turning downward (bearish momentum confirmation). High-volume rejection wicks at the 4,100–4,150 zone (supply confirmation). A daily displacement candle formed after the retest (institutional order flow shift). 🔹 Narrative & Bias ETH is transitioning into a markdown leg after completing a multi-month accumulation rally. The rejection at 4,100 aligns with the broader crypto sector rotation into BTC dominance and short-term USD strength. Phase Alignment: Wyckoff Distribution → Phase D to Phase E progression. Characterised by lower highs and successive liquidity sweeps. Macro Sentiment: BTC outperforming ETH across cross-pairs (ETHBTC ratio declining). The market is reacting to tightening liquidity and lower risk appetite post-Fed communications. Projection: Primary target: 3,000 zone (daily FVG mitigation + PD array). Extended target: 2,577 (institutional discount zone aligning with prior accumulation base). Continuation bias is valid while below 4,050 resistance and until FVGs below 3,200 are filled.