The_Alchemist_Trader_

Dogecoin price is showing a local bounce after successfully testing the Value Area Low (VAL) of its current trading range. This reaction indicates that short-term buyers are defending the lower boundary, but the next move will depend heavily on how price behaves around the Point of Control (POC) — a major resistance that must be reclaimed on a closing basis for continuation to the upside. If Dogecoin fails to close above the POC, the likelihood of a rotation back toward $0.16 increases. Such a move would likely take out weak lows and absorb resting liquidity below the range before any meaningful reversal attempt occurs. Key Points: - Support Reaction: Local bounce confirmed at the Value Area Low of the range. - Major Resistance: The Point of Control must be reclaimed for bullish structure to resume. - Downside Risk: Failure to reclaim POC could lead to a liquidity sweep toward $0.16. From a structural perspective, the market remains neutral-to-bullish as long as the VAL holds. What to Expect: Watch for a decisive close above the POC to confirm bullish momentum. Otherwise, expect range-bound movement or a liquidity grab near $0.16 before a potential rotation back upward.

Useless Token has remained in a steady corrective phase since forming its swing high at $0.41, with sellers maintaining control of short-term momentum. The token is now trading directly on support around $0.22, a level that has previously acted as a critical inflection point for price stability. Despite holding this support for now, market weakness remains evident, and the lack of strong bullish reaction increases the probability of a deeper corrective move toward lower price zones — most notably the $0.14 region, which aligns with prior structural support. Key Points: - Swing High: Correction initiated after rejection from $0.41. - Current Support: Price holding at $0.22, though momentum remains weak. - Downside Risk: Extended weakness could target the $0.14 support zone. From a technical perspective, the market shows no confirmation of reversal yet, with volume and structure still favoring sellers. What to Expect: If $0.22 fails to hold, expect Useless Token to extend its decline toward $0.14. A strong reclaim above local resistance would be required to shift bias back toward a potential recovery.

Bitcoin’s current price action remains range-bound, trading between key daily support and resistance levels. Price is consolidating near the Value Area Low, hinting at a potential accumulation phase, yet the presence of untapped liquidity beneath weak lows introduces the probability of another downward sweep before continuation. From a structural standpoint, the $100,000 region stands out as a crucial liquidity pocket. If price dips into this zone, it could trigger a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) setup — a liquidity grab below prior lows, followed by a possible reversal back toward the $122,000 swing high. Key Points: - Range Structure: Bitcoin remains trapped between daily support and resistance, signaling indecision. - Liquidity Zone: Weak lows below $100K could be targeted before reversal. - Potential SFP Setup: A sweep below $100K could fuel a move back toward $122K. Overall, Bitcoin continues to trade in equilibrium, with no decisive breakout yet confirmed. What to Expect: Expect Bitcoin to stay range-bound in the near term, with a higher probability of a corrective move toward $100K before any upside rotation. A confirmed SFP from this region could reignite momentum back toward $122K.

Ethereum price action is displaying clear local weakness, with signs pointing toward a potential rotation back to high-timeframe support at $3,385. The recent rally failed to break above the prior swing high, instead forming a lower high — a signal of fading bullish momentum. The rejection at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement was accompanied by increased bearish volume, confirming that sellers have regained control in the short term. Price is now testing local support around $3,900, a crucial level that must hold to avoid triggering a deeper corrective phase. Key Points: - Rejection Zone: Ethereum was rejected at the 0.618 Fibonacci, confirming local weakness. - Lower High Formation: Indicates loss of bullish structure and potential trend reversal. - Critical Supports: $3,900 (local) and $3,385 (high timeframe) are the key downside levels to watch. From a structural perspective, Ethereum’s inability to sustain momentum signals growing bearish pressure across lower timeframes. What to Expect: If $3,900 fails to hold, expect ETH to rotate toward $3,385 support. However, reclaiming and closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci could invalidate the short-term bearish setup and reintroduce upside potential.

Bitcoin’s intraday price action is showcasing a short-term rally, though a local resistance has recently triggered a pullback back into the current trading range. This corrective phase appears healthy for now, but the coming sessions will determine whether price can sustain its strength or break lower. The critical level to watch is the Value Area Low (VAL) of the intraday range. If Bitcoin manages to hold above this zone, it opens the door for a rotation toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, signaling potential continuation of the current rally. However, a failure to maintain this level could see price taking out the swing low near $100,000, confirming renewed weakness. Key Points: - Local Resistance: Short-term rejection is stalling momentum after the intraday rally. - Support Zone: Holding above the Value Area Low is crucial for maintaining upside potential. - Technical Confluence: A move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci could confirm short-term bullish continuation. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is now at a pivotal inflection point where market structure will soon dictate direction. What to Expect: A sustained hold above $100K supports a rotation toward the 0.618 Fibonacci, while a breakdown below the swing low could confirm a bearish intraday reversal toward deeper support levels.

Pi Network’s recent rally has cooled off sharply after a strong rejection from the $0.28 region, following an impressive bounce from the Point of Control (POC) and daily support at $0.19. This confluence zone previously acted as the base for bullish continuation, but the latest price reaction signals a potential shift in short-term momentum. The rejection from $0.28 suggests that sellers remain active near high-timeframe resistance. Now, with prices retracing below this level, maintaining support above $0.19 becomes crucial to preserving the bullish structure and preventing further downside continuation. Key Points: - POC Confluence: Support at $0.19 aligns with both daily structure and volume profile. - Rejection Zone: The $0.28 level triggered strong selling pressure. - Critical Decision Area: Price must hold above $0.19 to sustain the bullish bias. If Pi Network fails to hold this support region, the probability of a deeper correction increases substantially, potentially leading to a retest of lower liquidity levels. What to Expect: As long as $0.19 remains intact, Pi Network may attempt another rotation toward $0.24–$0.28. A breakdown below it, however, could confirm a bearish shift and open room for extended downside movement.

Bitcoin’s price structure appears to be entering a phase of equilibrium following the highly volatile capitulation wave observed in recent sessions. The market now shows signs of slowing momentum, suggesting that the current consolidation may represent a transitional phase before the next significant move. While price continues to trade above key short-term levels, the recent lack of follow-through hints at buyer exhaustion. This weakening structure may act as a setup for a rejection scenario, potentially marking the start of a short-term bearish rotation if price fails to maintain its current levels. Key Points: - Equilibrium Phase: Price is stabilizing after a volatile capitulation wave. - Loss of Momentum: Slowing price action suggests fading bullish strength. - Bearish Probability: A breakdown from current levels could initiate a corrective leg. From a technical standpoint, this structure represents an inflection point — if price fails to build above immediate resistance, the market could transition into a bearish continuation phase. What to Expect: If rejection follows current price behavior, Bitcoin may retrace toward lower support zones, confirming a bearish rotation in the short term. However, sustained strength above the current equilibrium could delay this correction.

Ethereum’s price action is displaying significant weakness around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, currently situated near $4,114. This region has repeatedly acted as a rejection zone, highlighting the lack of sustained bullish momentum in the current market structure. If continual rejections persist at this level, the probability of a deeper corrective move increases, with the next major support target lying around $2,400. The broader structural framework remains bearish, as Ethereum continues to form lower lows on higher timeframes — a classic signal of downtrend continuation. Key Points: - Critical Resistance: The 0.618 Fibonacci level at $4,114 remains a key rejection zone. - Bearish Structure: Ongoing lower lows suggest sustained weakness in market structure. - Downside Target: Potential corrective move could extend toward $2,400 support. From a technical perspective, this region can act as a lower high projection unless Ethereum decisively reclaims the $4,800 level. Until such a breakout occurs, the bias remains to the downside. What to Expect: As long as ETH fails to close above $4,114, bearish pressure will likely persist. A continued rejection here opens the door for a retracement toward $2,400, reinforcing the broader corrective outlook.

HBAR price action is currently struggling beneath a key cluster of resistances, notably the $0.30 area low and the $0.20 daily resistance, both acting as major supply zones. The inability to reclaim these levels underscores a lack of bullish conviction, suggesting that momentum remains weak for the time being. As long as price action stays below this resistance cluster, the probability of a deeper correction remains elevated. The $0.12 region now stands as the next major support — an area that must hold to maintain structural integrity and preserve the potential for a higher low formation. Key Points: - Resistance Cluster: Between $0.20 and $0.30, forming a strong rejection zone. - Critical Support: $0.12 serves as the key level to defend for structural preservation. - Market Weakness: Lack of volume and follow-through confirms bearish short-term bias. From a technical perspective, the lower timeframe structure still lacks confirmation of a reversal, as no breakout supported by strong volume has occurred yet. Until that happens, downside pressure remains dominant. What to Expect: HBAR must reclaim $0.20–$0.30 with strong volume to invalidate the bearish setup. Failure to do so increases the likelihood of another leg lower toward $0.12, where a potential rebound could form a higher low.

Dogecoin price action is showing early signs of recovery, now trading above the value area high at $0.16, a critical level that must hold to sustain bullish continuation following the recent capitulation move. Multiple consecutive candle closes above this region confirm that buyers are defending it, hinting toward ongoing accumulation. The reclaim of this zone marks a significant structural shift, as it aligns with the value area low from the prior range — forming strong technical confluence. This suggests that the market may be transitioning from distribution into a re-accumulation phase. Key Points: - Value Area High Support: $0.16 holds as key continuation support after the reclaim. - Technical Confluence: Alignment between VAH and VAL reinforces structural strength. - Next Resistance: The Point of Control (POC) is the next target before potential expansion. If DOGE can reclaim the POC, it could trigger an accelerated move toward $0.26, the upper boundary of the broader trading range. Until then, price action may continue oscillating within this consolidation band. What to Expect: As long as $0.16 holds, expect DOGE to maintain a rotational range between $0.16 and $0.26, with upside momentum strengthening on a decisive POC breakout.