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🔎 Market Structure Main Trend: Down → Series of lower highs and lows → Breakout below the downtrend line (which has already happened) Currently, the price is consolidating low, with no trend reversal signal. 📉 Price Action After a strong upward impulse (pump), the market: failed to maintain the structure gave back most of the gains Current price ~9.3 USDT No clear demand – small candles, weak momentum 🧱 Key Levels (very important) 🔴 Support 9.00–9.30 → local, weak ~8.00 → demand zone / lower consolidation range 5.94 → HARD SUPPORT Loss = possible further decline / capitulation 🟢 Resistance 12.36 → nearest Sensible resistance (flip level) 14.98 → strong structural resistance 19.59 – 22.77 → distribution zone (very difficult to break) 26.74 – 27.58 → local ATH/supply zone 📊 Stoch RSI indicator Currently emerging from oversold territory This is not a long signal per se It only gives: short-term bounce if volume appears 🧠 Scenarios 🟡 Baseline scenario (most likely) Consolidation 8–10 USDT Lack of strength for a breakout The market is waiting for: BTC move or news/volume 🔴 Bearish scenario Loss of ~8 USDT Test of 5.94 If 5.94 falls → new Lows 🟢 Bullish scenario (conditional!) D1 close above 12.36 Retest as support Targets: 14.98 19.59 Without this → no medium-term longs

1️⃣ Main trend • Long-term trend: upwards The black trend line is respected - the market moves in a higher highs / higher lows structure. • The recent upward move was expansive and parabolic → it was not a healthy growth, just FOMO. ➡️ Correction was inevitable. ⸻ 2️⃣ Current price situation • Current price ~ USDT 840 • The market rejected the 1020-1160 zone very aggressively (long wick = smart money distribution) This does NOT look like: • continuation of impulse ❌ • only for local peak and market cooling ✅ ⸻ 3️⃣ Key levels (most important) 🟢 Resistances • 911–920 → first hard resistance • 1020–1030 → distribution zone • 1160 → ATH / extreme (unrealistic without long consolidation) 🔴 Support • 780–800 → KEY This is: • previous resistance • psychological level • place of price reaction • 600–620 → strong HTF support • ~520–550 → the last line of defense of the trend ⸻ 4️⃣ RSI Stochastic (bottom) • RSI in the oversold zone • BUT: • on W1 RSI may stay in oversold for a long time • this is NOT yet a buy signal in itself We are waiting for: • RSI turn up • preferably bullish cross + price reaction

🔍 Market structure • Local trend: it was upward (black trend line), it was broken down • This means lost momentum for the bulls and a transition into correction/consolidation • No higher low structure yet → the trend is not rebuilt ⸻ 📉 Price vs levels (key zones) 🔴 Support: • 12.20 – upcoming, very important • 12.00 – psychological + technical • 11.74 – last line of defense for the bulls 👉 Going below 12.20 increases the chances of 11.74 🟢 Resistances: • 12.61 – currently strong resistance (flip S/R) • 12.95 – local peak • 13.21 – main target when the trend returns ⸻ 📊 Momentum – Stochastic RSI • Indicator close to the oversold zone • Possible: • short technical bounce • BUT without trend confirmation (no HH/HL) ⚠️ Rebound ≠ trend change ⸻ 📌 Scenarios (Highlights) 🟡 Scenario A – corrective reflection • Weapon price 12.20 • Move up to 12.61 • Perfect place for supply response 👉 If 12.61 is rejected → further consolidation or decline ⸻ 🔴 Scenario B – continued decline • 4H close below 12.20 • Movement towards 12.00 → 11.74 • Only there is reasonable demand ⸻ 🟢 Scenario C – bulls return (least likely now) • Breakout and holding above 12.61 • Structure confirmation (HH + HL) • Targets: 12.95 → 13.21

🔎 Market Structure Medium-term trend: downward The price is moving within a descending channel (orange lines). Each upward breakout has been corrected lower so far. Current: consolidation after a strong rebound from the low. 📉 Key Levels 🔴 Support 2925 USDT – very important local support (currently being tested). 2756 USDT – strong support from the previous reaction. 2600 USDT – last line of defense (structural low). 🟢 Resistance 3057 USDT – key resistance + near the moving average (SMA). 3225 USDT – strong supply reaction level. 3346 USDT – upper range of the structure, very strong resistance. 📐 Moving Average (green) Price below the SMA → market still under supply control. Until the 4-hour period closes clearly above ~3057, any upward move is a correction, not a trend change. 📊 Stochastic RSI There was an overheating (80+), now a downward turn. This is a cooling signal, possible: a sideways correction, or another decline to support. 🧠 Scenarios 🐻 Baseline scenario (more likely) Rejection from the downward channel. Retest of 2925 → if it breaks: 2756 and in an extreme case, 2600. 🐂 Alternative scenario (bullish) Breakout of 3057 + close of the 4-hour candle above. Targets: 3225 3346 Condition: Breakout from a descending channel (not just a wick).

📌 MARKET CONTEXT Higher timeframe trend (H4/D1): correction in an uptrend Current (1H): consolidation below resistance after a strong rebound Price is squeezed between: descending trendline (blue) local support ~87.5–88k This is a classic decision zone. 🟦 PRICE STRUCTURE What we see: Strong rebound from ~85.4k Higher lows (orange line) → local uptrend Price fails to break: ~88.7–89.0k (green zone) ➡️ Rising low + ceiling = triangle / compression 🟥 KEY LEVELS 🔴 Support: 88,130 – local micro-support (now being tested) 87,477 – very important (H1 structure) 86,880 – critical (loss = bias change) 85,447 – impulse low (bulls' last line of defense) 🟢 Resistance: 88,770 – first hard resistance 89,934 – key (range high) 90 770 – only after the structure is broken 📉 TRENDLINES Blue (downtrend): still respected ❗ Orange (uptrend): acts as dynamic support ➡️ Breaking these two lines = strong move (up or down) 📊 STOCH RSI Was overbought Now reversing down No bullish divergence ➡️ Short-term: cooling / possible pullback 🧠 SCENARIOS (specific) 🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BULLISH (less likely, but strong) Conditions: H1 candle close above 88,800 Breakout and hold above the blue trendline Targets: 89,900 90,770 Retest 88.7k = perfect long 🔴 SCENARIO 2 – BEARISHES (more likely now) Conditions: Rejection of 88.7k H1 close below 87,470 Targets: 86,880 85,450 This would be a healthy pullback to the structure, not the end of the bull market.

📉 Trend and Structure H4 Trend: Downtrend / Downtrend Consolidation Sequence of lower highs + lower lows from around 95k Currently, the price is below key resistance levels; the market has not regained its upward structure. 🟩 Key Chart Levels Resistance 94,596 – Very strong resistance (upper range zone) 91,600 – Local resistance / consolidation center 90,748 – Flip level (former support → resistance) Support 88,385 – Short-term support (already tested) 85,226 – Current price reaction zone 83,596 – Key structural support 80,646 – Last line of defense (if 83.6k falls) 📊 RSI (14) RSI ~40–45 → Lack of strength Buyers No bullish divergence RSI has not returned above 50 → trend remains bearish 📉 Stochastic RSI Recently in the overbought zone → downward trend This confirms a correction/further weakness No confirmation of an upward impulse 🧠 What does price action say? Last candle: strong upward rejection No follow-through after bounces Any upward breakout is sold 📌 Scenarios 🔴 Baseline scenario (more likely) Consolidation / further decline to: 83,600 and with market weakness even 80,600 Shorts have an advantage below 88,400 🟢 Alternative scenario (bullish) Conditions: H4 close above 88,400 Then breakout and hold at 90,700 Only then: Targets: 91,600 → 94,600 Without this = only corrections in a downtrend

🔍 Market Structure Clear downtrend – price is moving within a descending channel (lower highs and lows). Each bounce is sold at the upper band of the channel. No signal of a change in structure yet (no HH + HL). 📉 Current Price Status Price is at the lower end of the channel. Consolidation after a downward impulse → typical bearish continuation or short technical rebound. Current Zone: ~2.02–2.05 USDT – local support + demand reactions. 🟢 Key Levels Support 2.049 – local support (current reaction) 1.999 – strong psychological support 1.951 1.878 – lower demand zone (important!) Resistance 2.099 2.125 2.201 – key resistance / S→R flip. Upper channel line (~2.20–2.23) 📊 Stochastic RSI Oscillator often in oversold territory. Currently recovering from the low → possible short rebound. BUT: in a downtrend. The Stoch RSI is not a long-term signal. ➡️ More likely a pullback, not a trend change. 🧠 Scenarios 🔴 Baseline scenario (most likely) Bounce to: 2.09 → 2.12 Rejection + further decline: 1.99 then 1.95 / 1.88 ➡️ Short at resistance levels in line with the trend. 🟢 Alternative scenario (less likely) Breakout of 2.20 + close of the 1H candle above the channel Retest from above Then targets: 2.28 2.35–2.40 ➡️ Only then can we talk about a change in structure.

🔎 Market Structure (4H) Medium-term trend: still up, but clearly weakening Price has broken out of the local uptrend channel (black line broken) Currently, we have a downward impulse + attempted demand reaction This looks like a distribution → SL breakout → seeking demand lower 🧱 Key Levels (from your chart) 🟢 Resistance (now selling) 89,255 – first local resistance (now S/R flip) 91,857 – strong resistance, previous consolidation 93,713 – supply zone / last LH 94,700–95,000 – very strong resistance (high range) 👉 Until we return and close the 4H period above 91.8k, longs are counter-trend 🔴 Support (most important) 87,621 – currently being tested / very important 84,216 – key HTF support (must-hold for bulls) 81,308 77,820 – deep range low 📉 Momentum & price action Last candle: strong decline + long lower wick = demand reaction, but no confirmation No 4H HH/HL structure yet This looks like a dead cat bounce or a retest of the breakout 📊 Stoch RSI Was heavily oversold Now a sharp upward move ⚠️ But: In downtrends, the Stoch RSI often gives false long signals Price confirmation is needed, not just an oscillator 🧠 Scenarios (specific) 🟡 Scenario 1 – Base case (most likely) Pullback → further decline Bounce to 89.2k – 90k Rejection Down to 84.2k Market decision there 👉 This is a textbook retest of a broken structure 🟢 Scenario 2 – Bullish (less likely, but possible) Conditions: 4-Hour Close > 91,857 Then a retest of the high-low Then targets: 93.7k 94.7–95k Only above 95k does the full uptrend resume 🔴 Scenario 3 – Bearish (if demand breaks) If: 4-Hour Close < 87.6k Then: A quick move to 84.2k Breakout = 81.3k Extreme: 77.8k

. 🔍 Market Structure (Price Action) 1️⃣ Trend Long-term: The uptrend has been broken (a downward breakout from the black trend line). Medium-term: A sequence of lower highs and lower lows → a downtrend. The current rebound is a correction in the downtrend, not a confirmed reversal. 📐 Key Levels (very well marked) 🔴 Support 2768 USDT – key support (current local bottom). 2157 USDT – final support from the previous structure (if 2768 breaks → a very real pullback). 🟢 Resistance 3506 USDT – current nearest resistance (retest after a downward breakout). 4101 USDT – strong supply zone + former support. 4477 USDT – main structural resistance (region of previous highs). 👉 Price is now exactly in the decision zone between 2768 and 3506. 📉 Trendline Breaked and rejected (retest ended with a decline). This is a classic signal of a downtrend continuation. Until the price returns above 3506 and sustains, there is no uptrend. 📊 Stochastic RSI The oscillator frequently reaches the 80–100 zone. Currently: Moving out of overbought → signal of weakening upward momentum. No bullish divergence → no confirmation of a trend change. 🧠 Scenarios 🐻 Baseline scenario (more likely) Rejection of 3506 Return to around 3000 → 2768 Breakthrough of 2768 = open path to ~2150 🐂 Alternative (conditional) scenario Daily close above 3506 Retest of 3506 as support Only then is a move towards 4100 possible 🎯 Final conclusions This is not a market for longs without confirmation. The current rebound looks like a pullback in a downtrend. Safeest: Short at resistance (3506 / 4101) Long only after a breakout and holding of 3506

1️⃣ Market Structure and Trend The chart shows a long-term uptrend, confirmed by a very clean ascending trendline (orange), which has been acting as dynamic support for over a year. After a strong breakout to ~1380, the price began a correction but still hasn't broken the higher low structure → the uptrend is intact. 2️⃣ Key Levels (exactly from your chart) 🟢 Resistance Levels (green): ~1018 USDT ~1150 USDT ~1249 USDT These are potential targets for a renewed uptrend. 🔴 Support Levels (red): ~879 USDT – the closest important support ~838 USDT – a key defensive level ~683 USDT – deep support / last HTF trendline The price is currently trading directly above the first support level. 3️⃣ Trendline (orange) Your trendline is: strong, multi-point drawn on the D1 timeframe currently around 850–880 USDT ➡️ If the price falls, the trendline perfectly aligns with the 838–879 zone, strengthening this zone as a "must defend." 4️⃣ Oscillators – Stoch RSI (bottom) Currently: The oscillator is in a high zone (above 80) → indicating local overbought However, there is no clear downward crossover yet. Meaning: 👉 Upward momentum is still active, but we are closer to a local high than a low. 5️⃣ Scenarios 🟢 Upside scenario (more likely as long as the trendline holds) Condition: Maintaining the 879/838 levels and the trendline. Targets: 1018 USDT – first resistance 1150 USDT – important medium-term resistance 1249 USDT – main HTF target The longer the price consolidates above the orange trendline, the greater the chance of a renewed attack on 1150–1249. 🔴 Downside scenario (less likely, but crucial) Condition: Downside breakout of 838 USDT and closing of the D1 candle below the trendline. Then: the market could enter a deeper correction phase the target would be the 683 USDT level – this is also the main support level, where reactions were previously strong This is a "capitulation" scenario, but it doesn't seem to be dominant given the current price action. 6️⃣ What can we see on the chart "here and now"? ✔️ The price has rebounded from the local low ✔️ It is still between support at 879 and resistance at 1018 ✔️ The uptrend is intact ✔️ A potential HTF higher low has formed ✔️ The Stoch RSI shows momentum, but caution is warranted ➡️ The market is consolidating within the uptrend, with a high chance of a breakout upwards – provided support is maintained.